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Recovery of Weapons of Mass Destruction and Securing of a Nuclear Plant

Term Paper Instructions:

MISSION STATEMENT: Write a doctrinal mission statement.

Rationale: for your mission statement.  Explain how you derived the mission statement.

 ASSUMPTIONS: Identify critical assumptions necessary for planning this operation.  Note:  although there is no specific number of assumptions required, with the material at hand and the problem you are looking at there are several key assumptions identifiable.  This assignment is not graded against a list of “correct” assumptions but based on your demonstration of understanding what a formal planning assumption is and its role in planning. 

For each assumption, use the following format:

Assumption # 

Rationale: for the assumption

Impact: of the assumption on the planning process

COA SELECTION:  Use the 3 COAs provided in Exam materials.  Determine and specify the evaluation criteria for the current situation.  Explain your specification of evaluation criteria.  Using those criteria, conduct a doctrinal COA evaluation and selection, using the using the doctrinal process as described JP 5-0 or the USAWC Planning Handbook, including one of the techniques shown in JP 5-0 Appendix F.  Identify your recommended COA and provide an explanation for why it best meets mission requirements.

COA Evaluation Criteria:  There is no specified minimum or maximum number of criteria.  For each you identify, use the following format:

Criteria #  Identify (name) the criteria and briefly explain what it is.

Rationale: Why is this criteria important?

COA Comparison:  Using the doctrinal process, including tables or graphics.

Selected COA: name it

Rationale:  Explain why the selected COA best meets mission requirements.

COA RISK ASSESSMENT:  Using your selected COA, identify specific residual risks (that is, do not make general assessments that something bad might happen, focus on specific risks to the COA). Use the following format for each risk.

Risk:  what is the specific risk? 

Justification & Mitigation Measure for the Risk:  explain what aspect of the situation, adversary actions, uncertainties in intelligence, or our actions creates the risk.  Explain measures that we can take to mitigate the specific risk.

Term Paper Sample Content Preview:
Military planning for the recovery of weapons of mass destruction and securing of a nuclear plant
By
Name
YOUR COURSE
dd mm yyyy
Mission statement
To engage a joint U S to lead military forces of coalition partners to prevent Caprica's elite particular branch from supplying Caprica's Thunder terrorist Group with WMD and ensure Pegasus region security. If restraint is unsuccessful, on command, eliminate Capricas's Thunder terrorist forces, recover the WMD and fissile materials, stop further deliveries, destroy the terrorist camps and neutralize the Caprica terrorist group's capability of deploying its power in the Pegasus region, and the process secure Port Ray Nuclear reactor for control inspection by UN officials.
The rationale for the mission statement
Intelligence has indicated a transfer of Weapons of mass destruction and fissile materials by the Caprica elite particular branch to the Caprica Thunder terrorist group; this action needs to be countered by all mean possible. There is room for a diplomatic approach, and its outcome will determine the next course of action, including military action (Durieux, 2017). Consequently, the terrorist group has been showing the intent of attacking the US and its allies in the Pegasus region, thereby creating a threat to US vital national security interests as well as those of its western and regional partners; this situation must be contained by locating the weapons and neutralizing any operations of the terrorist group in the region by use of joint military forces when deterrence fails. There is a need to secure the nuclear reactor being controlled by the elite Special Forces responsible for transferring WMD to the terrorist group and ensure control by UN officials.
Assumptions for the planning of the operations
Availability of Weapons of Mass Destruction
The Caprica elite special forces have acquired a Zelzal -4 short-range ballistic missile capable of delivering a small payload over a short distance of about 350- 500 km. The payload comprises radiological warheads, biological, chemical, and explosives, which are considered to be mass destruction and thus disastrous to the US and its allies in the Pegasus region.
Impact
The joint planning department should indulge intensely in the complex consequences related to the involvement of these weapons by the enemy during the operation. There is a need to prioritize the protection of joint forces and the establishment of allied forces. Further, the planning department should focus on determining whether the enemy will or will not use weapons of mass destruction.
The behavior of the enemy
Diplomatic solutions may fail as the Caprica Thunder terrorist group has openly acknowledged the intention to employ such weaponry on the US and its allies in the Pagause Region, thus posing threats to the US, western and regional allies' security interests. These scenarios would hinder any efforts of a diplomatic solution to the situation. There is no apparent intention of the enemy and the location of the weaponry.
Impact
The joint planning department should consider execution timelines estimates to launch an operation considering the ambiguous and unambiguous warning timelines. The emphasis should be placed on protecting friendly forces in cases of unambiguous warnings indicating adversary strikes before the designated d/ day. The scenario impacts the initiative's origin on the onset of the hostility and flexibility with which the set timelines can be altered to suit the situation.
Behaviors of neighboring actors
The Capricas official has denied any relationship with the terrorist group. In contrast, intelligent sources have validated that the elite Special Forces branch of the Caprica military has transferred weapons to this terror group (Kürkçü, 2021). The official also denied that the terrorist organization possessed this weaponry and that the weaponry was transferred from their facility, harboring them, and refused to dismantle the terrorist camps. Both China and Russia have denied any connection to Caprica's thunder possession of the missiles. The adversary will portray calmness and protection and sometimes will use the opportunity to launch an offensive attack due to such protection.
Impact
The joint planning team will have to analyze the impact of the regional actors' behaviors on the adversary's behaviors and actions. The regional actors' behaviors will require formulating an intervention strategy in case their activity impacts the interest of the US and its allies. The unpredictable behavior and action of terrorist organizations due to regional actors' influence shall inform decisions related to the nature of forces involved in the operation.
Availability of forces
The estimated number of forces available for the operation is of great concern due to the nature of the preempt operation, which may involve nuclear weapons and the possibility of involvement in regional reactors supporting the terrorist group. The availability of forces will determine the duration to occupy the area of operation after the operation's completion to ensure the region's stability.
Impact
The robust nature of the Global Force Management Implementation Guidance (GFMIG) requires identifying the resources necessary to ensure the plan's success. This calls for dialogues with the allied sanction to ascertain the vital forces' availability and formulate, analyze and explore the impact of implementing other plans simultaneously during the operation (Cook, 2020). Level IV planning takes 18 to 24 months. The joint planning group must ensure that the GFMIG table is most suitable for the intended purpose by establishing which forces are identified and at what quarter is available for the operation to avoid altering the available troops. Joint planning will have to determine the duration taken to undertake the process successfully and those born after the operation, deciding on numbers to remain and their obligations. Forces availability also impacts choosing the intensity of combat at the earlier stages of the operation.
Nuclear weapons
The article indicated that the nuclear reactor is under the control of the Caprica Elite Special unit. This unit allegedly transfers the weaponry elements to the Caprica Thunder Terrorist group. On the other hand, it is in the public domain that the US possesses nuclear weapons, raising the stakes for both parties employing this weapon.
Impact
The operation is sensitive and requires a joint planning team to analyze and determine what can trigger adversary nuclear escalation and employment, including an immense threat to the Caprica Thunder terrorist group.
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