HLS 6030 DF8 Initial: National Intelligence Estimate

National Intelligence Estimate
Student’s Name
Institutional Affiliation
National Intelligence Estimate
The National Intelligence Estimate dubbed “Yugoslavia Transformed” was arguably targeting the US and its European allies. On its part the U.S. interest in Yugoslavia can be traced back to its interests in the Balkans. Previously, the US had been closely involved in defining the future of Balkans. In line with this, Yugoslavia had been for long seen as strategic puzzle of defeating or containing the Axis powers (Lampe, 2013; Treverton & Miles, 2016). With the coming of the cold war, the interest in the country was revived and it was seen as a strategic enigma for defeating Russia. Any military intervention could not however be conducted without the approval of the European allies hence the NIE which aimed at communicating American interests in Yugoslavia (Jakovina, 2014). The NIE is a good tool for policy makers especially in relation to Serbia, Slovenia and Croatia, which reportedly would annihilate Yugoslavia as a country.
The central thesis of the NIE Yugoslavia reformed is that the country would disintegrate leading to an eventual collapse of its federal system and the recognition of the country as a sovereign state (Director of Central Intellige...